Poland Right-Wing Fragments as Crown Party Rises to 9 Percent

Poland’s right-wing is frag­ment­ing as new rad­i­cal par­ties chal­lenge Law and Jus­tice’s dom­i­nance. On 2 Decem­ber 2025, The Euro­pean Con­ser­v­a­tive report­ed that PiS had fall­en below 30 per­cent sup­port, while Con­fed­er­a­tion sta­bi­lized between 10–15 per­cent, and the Crown par­ty, led by Grze­gorz Braun, rose to 9 per­cent. The arti­cle begins:

As the cen­trist-lib­er­al camp around Don­ald Tusk qui­et­ly recon­sol­i­dates pow­er, the Pol­ish Right is frag­ment­ing. Law and Jus­tice (PiS) is los­ing its long-stand­ing dom­i­nance to younger, more anti-sys­tem forces, while a new ultra-rad­i­cal party—the Crown—threatens to splin­ter the con­ser­v­a­tive camp and even hand the next elec­tion to the left-lib­er­als. As the first half of the par­lia­men­t’s term ends, the right-wing momen­tum that seemed so strong just a few months ago—when the pres­i­den­tial elec­tions were won, against all odds, by the for­mal­ly non-par­ti­san nation­al con­ser­v­a­tive Karol Nawrocki—has vis­i­bly stalled.

Read more: https://europeanconservative.com/articles/analysis/conservative-upheaval-fuels-right-wing-divide-in-poland/

Key Points

• The Con­fed­er­a­cy of the Pol­ish Crown, led by Grze­gorz Braun, achieved its first sig­nif­i­cant suc­cess when Braun won 6 per­cent in pres­i­den­tial elec­tions after leav­ing the Con­fed­er­a­tion in Jan­u­ary 2025, with par­ty sup­port ris­ing to around 9 per­cent in recent polls through anti-EU, anti-Ukrain­ian, and anti­se­mit­ic rhetoric.
• Con­fed­er­a­tion sta­bi­lized between 10–15 per­cent, becom­ing a seri­ous com­peti­tor for PiS after the Third Way dis­solved, with par­ties diverg­ing over the Ukraine war as PiS adopt­ed a pro-Ukrain­ian stance while Con­fed­er­a­tion advo­cat­ed a more assertive trans­ac­tion­al approach with anti-Ukrain­ian rhetoric in social pol­i­cy and diplomacy.
• Sup­port for par­ties to the right of PiS just exceed­ed 20 per­cent. How­ev­er, these forces com­bined won less than 8 per­cent in 2023, with the prospect of a future PiS-Con­fed­er­a­tion gov­ern­ment grow­ing more frag­ile as con­flict inten­si­fies, while the Crown remains too unpre­dictable to be a viable coali­tion partner.
• Pres­i­dent Karol Nawroc­ki remains the only fig­ure com­mand­ing broad trust across the frac­tured con­ser­v­a­tive camp, nom­i­nat­ed by PiS but run­ning as a for­mal­ly non-par­ti­san nation­al con­ser­v­a­tive, with many see­ing the ener­gy he brought to the pres­i­den­tial palace as a poten­tial umbrel­la under which a future right-of-cen­tre coali­tion could be rebuilt.

Poland’s Rising Role in the Global National Conservative Alliance

Poland has emerged as a piv­otal force with­in the Glob­al Nation­al Con­ser­v­a­tive Alliance (GNCA), a coali­tion unit­ing right-wing move­ments world­wide under shared prin­ci­ples of nation­al sov­er­eign­ty, cul­tur­al iden­ti­ty, and oppo­si­tion to glob­al insti­tu­tions. The Law and Jus­tice par­ty (PiS) serves as a dri­ving force in this alliance, pro­mot­ing tra­di­tion­al Catholic val­ues while align­ing close­ly with sim­i­lar move­ments in Hun­gary, Italy, and the Unit­ed States.

CPAC’s deci­sion to hold its first Pol­ish con­fer­ence in May 2025 marked a sig­nif­i­cant mile­stone, mak­ing Poland only the sec­ond Euro­pean coun­try, after Hun­gary, to host the event. Amer­i­can Con­ser­v­a­tive Union pres­i­dent Matt Schlapp announced the con­fer­ence while in Poland to col­lect an award from con­ser­v­a­tive broad­cast­er Repub­li­ka, invok­ing Pope John Paul II as a sym­bol of shared val­ues. NPR report­ed that CPAC has rebrand­ed itself to cel­e­brate pop­ulist approach­es while reach­ing out to con­ser­v­a­tive move­ments glob­al­ly, with the gath­er­ing fol­low­ing mul­ti­ple CPAC meet­ings in Budapest.

The con­fer­ence became a plat­form for unprece­dent­ed Amer­i­can inter­ven­tion in Pol­ish pol­i­tics. Home­land Secu­ri­ty Sec­re­tary Kristi Noem pub­licly endorsed PiS-backed can­di­date Karol Nawroc­ki just days before the pres­i­den­tial runoff, promis­ing con­tin­ued U.S. mil­i­tary pres­ence and Amer­i­can-made equip­ment if Poland elect­ed him. For­mer PiS Prime Min­is­ter Mateusz Moraw­iec­ki, now chair­man of the Euro­pean Con­ser­v­a­tives and Reformists, attacked glob­al­ists and the EU bureau­cra­cy while call­ing on Poland to reject immi­gra­tion dis­tri­b­u­tion policies.

Nawrock­i’s sub­se­quent vic­to­ry with 50.89 per­cent of the vote demon­strat­ed the endur­ing appeal of nation­al con­ser­v­a­tive pol­i­tics in Poland. The Rosa Lux­em­burg Stiftung observed that Nawrock­i’s cam­paign rep­re­sent­ed a strate­gic shift for PiS, empha­siz­ing social hier­ar­chies and hos­til­i­ty toward out­siders rather than the par­ty’s ear­li­er wel­fare-ori­ent­ed mes­sag­ing. The Hill not­ed that while Poland’s pres­i­den­cy is large­ly cer­e­mo­ni­al, the veto pow­er gives Nawroc­ki sig­nif­i­cant lever­age to block judi­cial and media reforms cen­tral to the cur­rent gov­ern­men­t’s agen­da. This posi­tions Poland along­side Hun­gary as a bas­tion of illib­er­al democ­ra­cy with­in the transat­lantic con­ser­v­a­tive network.

Exter­nal References:
• Noem urges Poles to elect Trump ally as CPAC holds its first meet­ing in Poland (NPR)
• Karol Nawroc­ki elect­ed pres­i­dent of Poland, rais­es Euro­pean con­cerns (The Hill)
• Poland Shifts to the Right (Rosa Lux­em­burg Stiftung)

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